UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW

UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW

When it will not be the biggest battle sports event of the summer, UFC 214 is the biggest MMA event of the season. In addition to this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two additional name charms, contenders and enjoyable battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a look at where the gambling odds have moved for all 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he gives his ideas on each matchup. All lines are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two fought and some naively expected the line would be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect anticipated on the line. It is difficult to attribute bettors Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their first meeting, and Jones won every aspect of the first battle. Expect something like – if not dominant – that time around.
Irrespective of how badly he takes his groundwork, Jones is the type of fighter who rises to the occasion like few others. He, this is the ultimate occasion. Cormier is his main rival and he has the chance to regain the belt he never dropped against him. That combination will result in a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance in the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Much like the main event, this line has not seen much movement. Given that the contrasting styles, that is not hard to trust. There’s a contingent of individuals who believe Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They could very well be right. The other side of the coin is made up of those who think that Maia can shut the space, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and just dominate with his grappling. They could be right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher is going to be his passing. Maia has gotten so good at going into the clinch if not under pressure he should be able to make Woodley miss after. Even against a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, after Maia gets his hands on you, that is a huge trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to initiate Jiu-Jitsu exchanges without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he has perfected the single leg to rear take) and Woodley being the type of man who likes to explode out of positions will only hurt him once that occurs. It’s sort of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an excess buck (+275 at Thursday morning), because Woodley will not be able to endure 25 moments of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wants to. The other choice is most likely a fast Woodley KO (+350 for the champ in Round 1, by the way).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable is dependent on what kind of bettor you’re. In case you have no difficulty throwing a massive lineup in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at almost -1400), or Cyborg ITD (nearly -700) are almost sure things. If that is not really your style, neither will be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop like Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a play relies on Evinger’s strength. She has taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t come back to beat Cyborg in this one after a tough start, there’s an external shot she is able to endure five minutes. But even the costs for”Fight Begins Round 2″ and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450( respectively), which makes them less attractive even to someone who is always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this fight is taking place after both guys have apparently passed their peak concerning durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone in their best are something to behold. This fight will come down to distance direction and in-fight decisions. Lawler wants to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s constant pressure will eventually see him get inside and at that point, anticipate Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him the war he is looking for. While that will grant us the type of fight we would like to view, do not expect it to end well for Cerrone.

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